Total Units: +3.97 units
Win Percentage 52.5%
Overall, it wasn’t a memorable tournament for betting. Came out ahead 3.97 units which is always the goal. Had one fantastic day, two days that were losers, and a mediocre day. Bryson DeChambeau took home the trophy after a two hole sudden death playoff. As stiff as the competition is at the Memorial every year, it seems like a very middling golfer usually wins. Last year Dufner, McGirt the year before, Lingmerth before that. Regardless, we will dive into the results.
Day 1 Thursday 4-6-1
The Losses: Took Haas over Hossler since Beau was not in good form coming into this and Haas has been steady. Mediocre but steady. Took Adam Scott over Stenson. Scott continues to look like he’s getting closer to making a run at a tournament. It was more value to take Scott despite Stenson looking great so far this year. Russell Knox over Hideki was a loss. Hideki has won the Memorial before but has been very hit or miss almost by the round. Was hoping to catch him on an off round for plus money. Zach Johnson over Charles Howell. Zach Johnson has been off to say the least but you just wait for it to click and it just hasn’t. Charley Hoffman over Ryan Moore didn’t work out either at even money. JB Holmes not beating Keegan Bradley was one of the more surprising misses. Thought it was a great bet at +121 odds and narrowly missed.
Also had one push taking Rickie plus money against Justin Thomas. I feel Justin Thomas is a very vulnerable #1 golfer in the world and to give good odds on a top 10 player is traditionally a strong play.
The Wins: The few, the proud today. Justin Rose over Tiger. I felt it should have been closer to -150 but it was only -120. Kuchar over Leishman as he has won here before, had better odds, and Leishman hasn’t really played spectacular since his hot start at the Byron Nelson. Xander Schauffele over Charl Schwartzel at plus money. Charl is playing well but Xander was at plus money. Neither had a good round but Xander had a better one. Jason Day at home vs. DJ. Plus money, home course, playing extremely well. DJ is playing not that great and still hanging around, which is scary once he puts it together.
Day 2 Friday 7-3-1
The Losses: Thought I took Aaron Wise over Horschel the whole time. Accidental pick and that’s on me. Horschel was favored -128 so I never would have done that but can’t blame anyone else. Kisner was NEVER close to Tony Finau. Schauffele was up 1 stroke going into the back 9 on Schwarzel. He proceeded to go +1 on the back and Charl went -2. He lost by two…
Pushed Rickie vs. JT again.
The Wins: Daniel Summerhays at even money edged Keith Mitchell. Tried really hard to blow it, getting a 9 on the last hole to win by 1. Patrick Rodgers tried to lose it against Lucas Glover as well doubling the same last hole. He was +127 though. Wesley Bryan has been solid of late and was sitting +168 against Branden Grace. He was steady the whole round and won by 3. Russell Knox got the same odds against Hideki and won by two. Decided to switch sides and took DJ over Day today. Figured DJ can’t be held down two days in a row and was the dog. He raked and Day was average. Picked Haas again vs. Hossler who blew up on the last hole. Haas was +112. Justin Rose again vs. Tiger, this time at -143.
Day 3 Saturday 7-5-1
The Losses: Patrick Reed against Tiger. I did picture this one to be one sided, but it was a bad day for Reed. Grayson Murray against Haas was good odds but another golfer in the plus side of the scorecard. Ryan Armour over Patrick Cantlay was a major value pick. Cantlay had a great day though. Hossler over Stenson. Hossler was juicy sitting +148. He lost by two shooting over par. Took Wesley Bryan over Byeong-Hun An with a good price but An kept himself in contention while Bryan stayed at par.
Pushed Branden Grace against Phil.
The Wins: Whee Kim over Ryan Moore at +171. Kuchar over Oosthuizen as a slight favorite. Adam Scott over Rory Sabbatini was a confidence pick with poor odds. Took Keegan over Bubba based on how Keegan played the first two days. Went hunting with Si Woo Kim over DJ at +206. Justin Rose had terrible odds against Gary Woodland but that was automatic in my eyes. Hideki over Jason Day was a great value pick as Day faded and Hideki had a solid round at +129.
Day 4 Sunday 2-4-1
The Losses: Jason Day over DJ. Thought Day would make a solid push after a middling moving day, but turned in a poor final round. Grace over Phil was a seven stroke difference in Phil’s favor. Tried hitting Si Woo Kim again vs. Rickie and that was a four stroke win for Rickie. Hideki took +131 odds from Rory. Thought that was terrific value for a top 10 player. Ended up losing by two.
Pushed Cantlay and DeChambeau.
The Wins: Took Ryan Moore over Adam Scott at plus money and won by three strokes. For as well as Byeong-Hun An was playing, he took on +185 odds against Justin Rose. Justin Rose is the #3 player in the world but that is super aggressive against a player starting the day in 5th.
Finished the week with positive units and that’s the name of the game. Looking for a better week in the FedEx St. Jude Classic tuning up for the US Open. Obviously a very light field the week before a major but still some solid names.
More content will be coming and soon it will be daily. As always, get those units any way you can. #TeamGetUnits