NCAAF

SEC Preview: Win Totals

Recapping the win total picks from the College Football Preview Podcast.  This is the SEC portion of the recap.

Alabama- o/u 11

I chose to lean on the over.  I can’t see them losing 2 games.  Alabama’s schedule is pretty weak and they will be strong again as always. Saban has to navigate the QB situation and I assume Tagovailoa will win that battle which would be an improvement at the position.

Auburn- o/u 9

Under on this number. They return 6 on offense and 7 on defense including Stidham and their WR’s. They replace their RB’s and whole OL. Malzahn is a great and creative coach but they have been 12-10 on the road and 3-5 in neutral site games under his reign. Tough schedule with at Bama, at Georgia, and somewhat neutral site against Washington to start the year. If they lose those three, that’s at the number and need one more that they shouldn’t lose.

Georgia- o/u 10.5

Georgia has an embarrassingly weak schedule and it’s a shame Georgia fans have to pay for that. Can’t help but choose the over given what’s ahead of them. Only 4 road games the entire year. I don’t see any tough games for them even though they won’t have as great of a year as last year.

LSU- o/u 7

LSU is at a number that the public can’t believe. They return 5 on each side of the ball and lose their QB, 2 RB’s (Guice), WR’s, 2 OL, 2 DL, 3 LB’s, and 1 DB. Their defense will be solid again but that’s never the question with them. I am an under lean but don’t have a good feel for it. Ed Orgeron is on a fiery seat coming into this and things could spiral out of control. I think the Miami game sets the tone for both teams.

Texas A&M- o/u 7

Exit Sumlin, enter Jimbo Fisher. He doesn’t walk into a bad situation either with 8 starters returning on each side of the ball. It’ll take him a second to get his guys and change the program. This could be on the number but I think the coaching upgrade and experienced players could drive them over. I have them over with 8 wins.

Florida- o/u 8

Don’t want to touch this one but we had to discuss it. They return 10 offensive starters and 9 defensive starters. QB is still a huge issue with Franks as the probable starter but Mullen could work some magic and get them up to speed. Just too many question marks all around to feel comfortable either way.

Kentucky- o/u 5.5

Under. We discussed this program. Took some jabs at Big Blue Nation’s football program. Under. We didn’t need to see anything to know we liked the under here. Under.

 

Categories: NCAAF, Picks

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