McPhil’s Week 8 NFL Picks

NFL picks ATS: 2-1

The Chargers weren’t able to cover the spread due to some dropped balls and last-minute heroics by the Titans. Fortunately, the Chiefs remain undefeated against the spread on the season with their obliteration of the Bengals in prime-time. We’re 2-1 on the season for NFL spread picks and look to continue our success this week.

Redskins @ Giants, Washington wins (PK)

The New York Giants have been selling off assets left and right, including Damon “Snacks” Harrison who has been the league’s best run-stopper for the last four or five seasons, and Eli Apple, who was honestly their best corner this season, if that tells you anything about the state of the Giants’ secondary. Janoris Jenkins is no longer the shut-down “jack-rabbit” and finds his name tossed around in trade talks. With chemistry and continuity for the team already struggling prior to the trade and losing two of their best five defenders on defense, I expect the Giants to struggle. Surprising, right?

To say the Giants have struggled on offense would be an understatement. Eli is looking to check down almost every play, is hesitating to let the ball go (see: Shurmur on the sideline mouthing “throw it”, along with everyone else in the nation who was watching, as Eli held the ball with OBJ open in the end zone) and just falling to the ground, and I mean literally just crumbling and falling over, under pressure. Meanwhile, the Redskins are coming off a hard-fought win against the Cowboys. Their defense is playing better than many give it credit for because of the game against the Saints. They’ve held four of their other five opponents under 20 points and are looking to ride their strong offensive line and an age-less Adrian Peterson right up through the Giants’ defense where Snacks used to be. With the Giants struggling and the Redskins able to ride their strong defense and stout run-game in this contest, I like the Redskins to pull out the victory.

Final score prediction: Redskins win, 20-17

Colts @ Raiders, Colts cover (-3)

I ripped the Raiders pretty hard in my Seahawks prediction from a couple weeks ago, so I’ll simply say that the situation hasn’t gotten any better, it’s only gotten worse. Cooper has been shipped out, seemingly anyone on the Raiders is available and I believe that coming out and saying Cooper won’t be traded right before he got traded has alienated this team even more. The offensive line is still hurt and awful, and now the only thing that was working for the Raiders (Marshawn Lynch) is on IR while Doug Martin, one of the least-efficient running backs in the NFL since after his impressive rookie season, takes over instead. The Colt’s defense has some young studs Darius Leonard and Malik Hooker to go along with veterans like Mike Mitchell and Margus Hunt that should be able to slow the Raiders’ taped-together offense. The Colts ride Marlon Mack, Nyheim Hines, T.Y. Hilton and Andrew Luck to an easy victory in this one. The Raiders are in full tank-mode, so take advantage before everyone else catches on.

Final score prediction: 24-17 Colts

Author: Evan McPhillips

Analyst and Houston Texans Media Correspondent for Pro Football Focus. Follow me on Twitter @emcphil and @PFF_Texans.

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